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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Portugal U19 League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Portugal U19 League
Sporting U19 Sporting U19
PREDICTION Sporting U19 wins Probability 8% 1 X 2
SC Farense U19 SC Farense U19
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Portugal U19 League

Our betting tip for Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Sporting U19 Sporting U19
1.53
X
4.00
SC Farense U19 SC Farense U19
4.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sporting U19 wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting U19, you can win up to $765.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sporting U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Farense U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Sporting U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19 for the Portugal U19 League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sporting U19 X SC Farense U19 – Portugal U19 League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Sporting U19 – Winning probability: 70.57% | Fair line: 1.42
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.48% | Fair line: 4.88
๐Ÿ”ด SC Farense U19 – Winning probability: 8.95% | Fair line: 11.17
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sporting U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19

Is betting on Sporting U19 worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Sporting U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $376.30
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$86.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$200.00.

Is it worth betting on SC Farense U19?

๐Ÿ”ด SC Farense U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $340.20
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$569.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sporting U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Sporting U19 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Sporting U19.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Sporting U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting U19 x SC Farense U19

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves