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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa Betting tips for November 25 in Bulgaria Second League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Bulgaria Second League
Sportist Svoge Sportist Svoge
PREDICTION No tip
Belasitsa Belasitsa
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Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa Betting tips for November 25 in Bulgaria Second League

Our betting tip for Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
12:30
Sportist Svoge Sportist Svoge
1.89
X
3.22
Belasitsa Belasitsa
3.73

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa

Some important points for the tip for Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sportist Svoge in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-153.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Belasitsa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Sportist Svoge matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa

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Summary

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Analysis from Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa for the Bulgaria Second League – 25 of November

🏟️ Sportist Svoge X Belasitsa – Bulgaria Second League
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:30
πŸ”΅ Sportist Svoge – Winning probability: 54.03% | Fair line: 1.85
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.14% | Fair line: 3.83
πŸ”΄ Belasitsa – Winning probability: 19.83% | Fair line: 5.04
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sportist Svoge
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa

Is it worth betting on Sportist Svoge?

πŸ”΅ Sportist Svoge: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $480.60;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$20.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $577.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$162.80.

Is betting on Belasitsa worth it?

πŸ”΄ Belasitsa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$254.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sportist Svoge
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Sportist Svoge and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Sportist Svoge.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Belasitsa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sportist Svoge x Belasitsa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves