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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik Betting tips for March 29 in Bulgaria Second League
Saturday, 29 March 2025, 13h30 Bulgaria Second League
Sportist Svoge Sportist Svoge
PREDICTION No tip
Minyor Pernik Minyor Pernik
Don't miss this prediction!

Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik Betting tips for March 29 in Bulgaria Second League

Our betting tip for Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik, Saturday, 29/3/2025
πŸ“… 29/3/2025
13:30
Sportist Svoge Sportist Svoge
1.72
X
3.50
Minyor Pernik Minyor Pernik
4.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik

The main points for the tip for Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sportist Svoge in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Minyor Pernik in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $35.0.
πŸ‘‰ Sportist Svoge did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Minyor Pernik scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Minyor Pernik matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Minyor Pernik conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Sportist Svoge has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Minyor Pernik playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik for the Bulgaria Second League – 29 of March

🏟️ Sportist Svoge X Minyor Pernik – Bulgaria Second League
πŸ“… 29 of March, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Sportist Svoge – Winning probability: 60.35% | Fair line: 1.66
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.20% | Fair line: 3.82
πŸ”΄ Minyor Pernik – Winning probability: 13.45% | Fair line: 7.43
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.5 Sportist Svoge
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1290777 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1Γ—2 market for Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik

Is it a good idea to bet on Sportist Svoge?

πŸ”΅ Sportist Svoge: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $432.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$32.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $650.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$90.00.

Should you bet on Minyor Pernik?

πŸ”΄ Minyor Pernik: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$454.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.5 Sportist Svoge
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sportist Svoge, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Sportist Svoge.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: 0.75 Minyor Pernik.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sportist Svoge x Minyor Pernik

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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