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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion Betting tips for January 30 in Paraguay Division Profesional
Thursday, 30 January 2025, 23h30 Paraguay Division Profesional
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
PREDICTION No tip
Olimpia Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
Don't miss this prediction!

Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion Betting tips for January 30 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion, Thursday, 30/1/2025
πŸ“… 30/1/2025
23:30
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
3.40
X
2.97
Olimpia Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
2.15

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion

Some important points for the tip for Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Ameliano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $364.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Olimpia Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Olimpia Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Olimpia Asuncion, Sportivo Ameliano scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 Sportivo Ameliano matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Sportivo Ameliano has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Olimpia Asuncion playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion:

Analysis from Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 30 of January

🏟️ Sportivo Ameliano X Olimpia Asuncion – Paraguay Division Profesional
πŸ“… 30 of January, 2025 – 23:30
πŸ”΅ Sportivo Ameliano – Winning probability: 28.28% | Fair line: 3.54
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.22% | Fair line: 3.31
πŸ”΄ Olimpia Asuncion – Winning probability: 41.50% | Fair line: 2.41
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Sportivo Ameliano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1254175 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion

Is it a good idea to bet on Sportivo Ameliano?

πŸ”΅ Sportivo Ameliano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$48.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.97. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $591.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$109.00.

Is betting on Olimpia Asuncion worth it?

πŸ”΄ Olimpia Asuncion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $471.50
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$118.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Sportivo Ameliano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Sportivo Ameliano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Sportivo Ameliano.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: +0.25 Sportivo Ameliano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sportivo Ameliano x Olimpia Asuncion

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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