Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 18:35

Sportivo Italiano 3.30

X 2.90

Real Pilar 2.15

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Italiano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Pilar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $80.0. 👉 Sportivo Italiano did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 Real Pilar did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 5 Sportivo Italiano matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Real Pilar matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar, with Sportivo Italiano as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Sportivo Italiano has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Real Pilar playing at home.

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Analysis from Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 12 of April

When the best bet on Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar

Is betting on Sportivo Italiano worth it?

🔵 Sportivo Italiano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $741.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$131.00.

Is betting on Real Pilar worth it?

🔴 Real Pilar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $414.00;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$226.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sportivo Italiano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Sportivo Italiano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Sportivo Italiano.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sportivo Italiano x Real Pilar

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.