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Home » Predictions » Others » Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM Betting tips for November 9 in Paraguay Division Profesional
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 23h30 Paraguay Division Profesional
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
PREDICTION No tip
General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM
Don't miss this prediction!

Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM Betting tips for November 9 in Paraguay Division Profesional

Our betting tip for Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
23:30
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
1.97
X
3.16
General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM
3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM

Some important points for the tip for Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Trinidense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on General Caballero JLM in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 9 of November

🏟️ Sportivo Trinidense X General Caballero JLM – Paraguay Division Profesional
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Sportivo Trinidense – Winning probability: 46.32% | Fair line: 2.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.00% | Fair line: 3.23
🔴 General Caballero JLM – Winning probability: 22.68% | Fair line: 4.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sportivo Trinidense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sportivo Trinidense and General Caballero JLM.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1217827 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM

Is it a good idea to bet on Sportivo Trinidense?

🔵 Sportivo Trinidense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $446.20;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$93.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $669.60
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$20.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on General Caballero JLM?

🔴 General Caballero JLM: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$195.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sportivo Trinidense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sportivo Trinidense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Sportivo Trinidense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 General Caballero JLM.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sportivo Trinidense x General Caballero JLM

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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