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Home » Predictions » Others » SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen Betting tips for November 30 in Germany Regionalliga Bayern
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 13h00 Germany Regionalliga Bayern
SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
Turkgucu Munchen Turkgucu Munchen
ODD: @3.84 Don't miss this prediction!

SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen Betting tips for November 30 in Germany Regionalliga Bayern

Our betting tip for SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
13:00
SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing
1.67
X
3.84
Turkgucu Munchen Turkgucu Munchen
3.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1920.00!

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Important information for your tip for SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Turkgucu Munchen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $725.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen for the Germany Regionalliga Bayern – 30 of November

🏟️ SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing X Turkgucu Munchen – Germany Regionalliga Bayern
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing – Winning probability: 43.18% | Fair line: 2.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.03% | Fair line: 3.22
🔴 Turkgucu Munchen – Winning probability: 25.79% | Fair line: 3.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen

Is it a good idea to bet on SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing?

🔵 SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $288.10;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$281.90.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $880.40;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$190.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Turkgucu Munchen?

🔴 Turkgucu Munchen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $715.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$25.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Turkgucu Munchen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing x Turkgucu Munchen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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