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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Landesliga
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Landesliga
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
PREDICTION Blau-Weiss Mintard Wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Blau-Weiss Mintard Blau-Weiss Mintard
ODD: @1.88 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Landesliga

Our betting tip for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:00
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
3.16
X
4.04
Blau-Weiss Mintard Blau-Weiss Mintard
1.88

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Blau-Weiss Mintard wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Blau-Weiss Mintard, you can win up to $940.00!

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Some important points for the tip for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-64.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Blau-Weiss Mintard matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 10 matches as the away team, Blau-Weiss Mintard conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Blau-Weiss Mintard as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard

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Summary

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Analysis from SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard for the Germany Landesliga – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord X Blau-Weiss Mintard – Germany Landesliga
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord – Winning probability: 27.98% | Fair line: 3.57
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.83% | Fair line: 7.79
๐Ÿ”ด Blau-Weiss Mintard – Winning probability: 59.19% | Fair line: 1.69
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard

Should you bet on SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord?

๐Ÿ”ต SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $604.80
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$115.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $395.20;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$474.80.

Should you bet on Blau-Weiss Mintard?

๐Ÿ”ด Blau-Weiss Mintard: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $519.20;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$109.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord x Blau-Weiss Mintard

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves