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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II Betting tips for November 25 in Germany 3.Liga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany 3.Liga
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846
PREDICTION No tip
Freiburg II Freiburg II
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SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II Betting tips for November 25 in Germany 3.Liga

Our betting tip for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:30
SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846
1.68
X
3.70
Freiburg II Freiburg II
4.33

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II

Some important points for the tip for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SSV Ulm 1846 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Freiburg II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, SSV Ulm 1846 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Freiburg II matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II?

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Analysis from SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II for the Germany 3.Liga – 25 of November

🏟️ SSV Ulm 1846 X Freiburg II – Germany 3.Liga
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:30
πŸ”΅ SSV Ulm 1846 – Winning probability: 62.22% | Fair line: 1.61
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.26% | Fair line: 3.96
πŸ”΄ Freiburg II – Winning probability: 12.52% | Fair line: 7.99
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SSV Ulm 1846
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II

Is it a good idea to bet on SSV Ulm 1846?

πŸ”΅ SSV Ulm 1846: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $421.60;
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$41.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $675.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$75.00.

Is it worth betting on Freiburg II?

πŸ”΄ Freiburg II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $432.90;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$437.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SSV Ulm 1846
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 SSV Ulm 1846 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 SSV Ulm 1846.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves