SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II Betting tips for November 25 in Germany 3.Liga
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25/11/2023 15:30 |
 SSV Ulm 18461.68 |
X 3.70 |
Freiburg II  4.33 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II
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Some important points for the tip for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II: π If you had bet $100 on SSV Ulm 1846 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0. |
π You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II:
Analysis from SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II for the Germany 3.Liga – 25 of November
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ποΈ SSV Ulm 1846 X Freiburg II – Germany 3.Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II
Is it a good idea to bet on SSV Ulm 1846?
π΅ SSV Ulm 1846: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 620 times – profiting $421.60;
- And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$41.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $675.00;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$75.00.
Is it worth betting on Freiburg II?
π΄ Freiburg II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $432.90;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$437.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SSV Ulm 1846
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 SSV Ulm 1846 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 SSV Ulm 1846.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SSV Ulm 1846 x Freiburg II
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
