SSV Ulm 1846 x Greuther Furth Betting tips for December 1 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for SSV Ulm 1846 x Greuther Furth, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 12:30

SSV Ulm 1846 2.30

X 3.38

Greuther Furth 2.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SSV Ulm 1846 x Greuther Furth:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for SSV Ulm 1846 x Greuther Furth

Some important points for the tip for SSV Ulm 1846 x Greuther Furth: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SSV Ulm 1846 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Greuther Furth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Greuther Furth conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from SSV Ulm 1846 x Greuther Furth for the Germany Bundesliga II – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SSV Ulm 1846 and Greuther Furth.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SSV Ulm 1846 x Greuther Furth

Is betting on SSV Ulm 1846 worth it?

🔵 SSV Ulm 1846: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $481.00
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$149.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $714.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is it worth betting on Greuther Furth?

🔴 Greuther Furth: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $610.50;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$59.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match SSV Ulm 1846 x Greuther Furth

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SSV Ulm 1846
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SSV Ulm 1846 x Greuther Furth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 SSV Ulm 1846 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 SSV Ulm 1846.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Greuther Furth.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SSV Ulm 1846 x Greuther Furth

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.