SSV Ulm 1846 x VfL Osnabruck Betting tips for December 12 in Germany 3. Liga
| 📅 12/12/2025 18:00 |
SSV Ulm 18463.00 |
X 3.40 |
VfL Osnabruck ![]() 2.10 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for SSV Ulm 1846 x VfL Osnabruck:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for SSV Ulm 1846 x VfL Osnabruck
Important information for your tip for SSV Ulm 1846 x VfL Osnabruck:
👉 If you had bet $100 on SSV Ulm 1846 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on VfL Osnabruck in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $565.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, VfL Osnabruck scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, SSV Ulm 1846 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for SSV Ulm 1846 as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from SSV Ulm 1846 x VfL Osnabruck for the Germany 3. Liga – 12 of December
🏟️ SSV Ulm 1846 X VfL Osnabruck – Germany 3. Liga
📅 12 of December, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 SSV Ulm 1846 – Winning probability: 22.71% | Fair line: 4.4
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.86% | Fair line: 3.59
🔴 VfL Osnabruck – Winning probability: 49.43% | Fair line: 2.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SSV Ulm 1846
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SSV Ulm 1846 x VfL Osnabruck right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452043 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for SSV Ulm 1846 x VfL Osnabruck
Is it a good idea to bet on SSV Ulm 1846?
🔵 SSV Ulm 1846: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $460.00;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$310.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $672.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$48.00.
Is it worth betting on VfL Osnabruck?
🔴 VfL Osnabruck: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $539.00;
- And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$29.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match SSV Ulm 1846 x VfL Osnabruck
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SSV Ulm 1846
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SSV Ulm 1846 x VfL Osnabruck
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 SSV Ulm 1846 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 SSV Ulm 1846.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 VfL Osnabruck.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SSV Ulm 1846 x VfL Osnabruck
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

SSV Ulm 1846