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Home » Predictions » SSVg Velbert x Fortuna Dusseldorf II Betting tips for February 10 in Germany Regionalliga West
Saturday, 10 February 2024, 13h00 Germany Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert SSVg Velbert
PREDICTION Fortuna Dusseldorf II Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Fortuna Dusseldorf II Fortuna Dusseldorf II
ODD: @1.99 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

SSVg Velbert x Fortuna Dusseldorf II Betting tips for February 10 in Germany Regionalliga West

Our betting tip for SSVg Velbert x Fortuna Dusseldorf II, Saturday, 10/2/2024
📅 10/2/2024
13:00
SSVg Velbert SSVg Velbert
3.10
X
3.55
Fortuna Dusseldorf II Fortuna Dusseldorf II
1.99

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SSVg Velbert x Fortuna Dusseldorf II:

🔮 Fortuna Dusseldorf II wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortuna Dusseldorf II, you can win up to $995.00!

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Some important points for the tip for SSVg Velbert x Fortuna Dusseldorf II:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SSVg Velbert in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Dusseldorf II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $430.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, SSVg Velbert conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Fortuna Dusseldorf II conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from SSVg Velbert x Fortuna Dusseldorf II for the Germany Regionalliga West – 10 of February

🏟️ SSVg Velbert X Fortuna Dusseldorf II – Germany Regionalliga West
📅 10 of February, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 SSVg Velbert – Winning probability: 15.53% | Fair line: 6.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.82% | Fair line: 4.2
🔴 Fortuna Dusseldorf II – Winning probability: 60.65% | Fair line: 1.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 SSVg Velbert
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SSVg Velbert and Fortuna Dusseldorf II.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1054913 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SSVg Velbert x Fortuna Dusseldorf II

Is it a good idea to bet on SSVg Velbert?

🔵 SSVg Velbert: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$504.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$148.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fortuna Dusseldorf II?

🔴 Fortuna Dusseldorf II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $603.90;
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$213.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SSVg Velbert x Fortuna Dusseldorf II

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 SSVg Velbert
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SSVg Velbert x Fortuna Dusseldorf II

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 SSVg Velbert, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 SSVg Velbert.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Fortuna Dusseldorf II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SSVg Velbert x Fortuna Dusseldorf II

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves