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Home » Predictions » Others » St Etienne x Pau Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 France Ligue 2
St Etienne St Etienne
PREDICTION St Etienne wins Probability 7% 1 X 2
Pau Pau
ODD: @1.63 Don't miss this prediction!

St Etienne x Pau Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for St Etienne x Pau, Saturday, 25/11/2023
📅 25/11/2023
14:00
St Etienne St Etienne
1.63
X
3.72
Pau Pau
4.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for St Etienne x Pau:

🔮 St Etienne wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on St Etienne, you can win up to $815.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for St Etienne x Pau:

👉 If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.
👉 In the last 5 St Etienne matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for St Etienne x Pau

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on St Etienne x Pau?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on St Etienne x Pau:

Analysis from St Etienne x Pau for the France Ligue 2 – 25 of November

🏟️ St Etienne X Pau – France Ligue 2
📅 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
🔵 St Etienne – Winning probability: 77.08% | Fair line: 1.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.94% | Fair line: 6.69
🔴 Pau – Winning probability: 7.97% | Fair line: 12.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 St Etienne
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between St Etienne and Pau.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for St Etienne x Pau

Is betting on St Etienne worth it?

🔵 St Etienne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $485.10
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$255.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $408.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$442.00.

Should you bet on Pau?

🔴 Pau: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $296.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$624.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match St Etienne x Pau

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 St Etienne
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for St Etienne x Pau

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 St Etienne and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 St Etienne.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 St Etienne.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for St Etienne x Pau

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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