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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun Betting tips for November 24 in Switzerland Challenge League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Switzerland Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais
PREDICTION No tip
FC Thun FC Thun
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Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun Betting tips for November 24 in Switzerland Challenge League

Our betting tip for Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
18:30
Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais
3.20
X
3.50
FC Thun FC Thun
2.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun

The main points for the tip for Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Stade Nyonnais in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $98.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Thun in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $336.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Stade Nyonnais scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, FC Thun scored at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun?

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Analysis from Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun for the Switzerland Challenge League – 24 of November

🏟️ Stade Nyonnais X FC Thun – Switzerland Challenge League
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ Stade Nyonnais – Winning probability: 24.40% | Fair line: 4.1
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.60% | Fair line: 4.85
πŸ”΄ FC Thun – Winning probability: 54.99% | Fair line: 1.82
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Stade Nyonnais
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun

Is betting on Stade Nyonnais worth it?

πŸ”΅ Stade Nyonnais: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$232.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$265.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Thun?

πŸ”΄ FC Thun: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $550.00;
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$100.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Stade Nyonnais
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Stade Nyonnais, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Stade Nyonnais.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FC Thun.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stade Nyonnais x FC Thun

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves