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Home » Predictions » Others » Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw Betting tips for December 1 in Poland Ekstraklasa
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h30 Poland Ekstraklasa
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
PREDICTION Legia Warsaw Wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Legia Warsaw Legia Warsaw
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw Betting tips for December 1 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
16:30
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
3.90
X
3.50
Legia Warsaw Legia Warsaw
1.83

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw:

🔮 Legia Warsaw wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Legia Warsaw, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Stal Mielec in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $155.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Legia Warsaw in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $299.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Stal Mielec scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Legia Warsaw scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Legia Warsaw matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Stal Mielec conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Legia Warsaw.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 1 of December

🏟️ Stal Mielec X Legia Warsaw – Poland Ekstraklasa
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Stal Mielec – Winning probability: 17.66% | Fair line: 5.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.48% | Fair line: 5.13
🔴 Legia Warsaw – Winning probability: 62.86% | Fair line: 1.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Stal Mielec
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw

Is it a good idea to bet on Stal Mielec?

🔵 Stal Mielec: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $522.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $475.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is it worth betting on Legia Warsaw?

🔴 Legia Warsaw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $522.90;
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$152.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Stal Mielec
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Stal Mielec and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Stal Mielec. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stal Mielec x Legia Warsaw

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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