Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw Betting tips for October 27 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw, Sunday, 27/10/2024

📅 27/10/2024 16:00

Stal Stalowa Wola 2.75

X 3.40

Polonia Warsaw 2.21

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw

Important information for your tip for Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Stal Stalowa Wola in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Polonia Warsaw in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $257.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Stal Stalowa Wola scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Polonia Warsaw scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Polonia Warsaw matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Polonia Warsaw conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw for the Poland I Liga – 27 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209557 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw

Is it worth betting on Stal Stalowa Wola?

🔵 Stal Stalowa Wola: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $542.50;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$147.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $744.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$54.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Polonia Warsaw?

🔴 Polonia Warsaw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.21. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $459.80
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$160.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Stal Stalowa Wola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Stal Stalowa Wola, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Stal Stalowa Wola.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Polonia Warsaw.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stal Stalowa Wola x Polonia Warsaw

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.