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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Standard Liege x Genk Betting tips for November 25 in Belgium First Division A
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Belgium First Division A
Standard Liege Standard Liege
PREDICTION Genk Wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Genk Genk
ODD: @2.02 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Standard Liege x Genk Betting tips for November 25 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Standard Liege x Genk, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
19:45
Standard Liege Standard Liege
3.20
X
3.54
Genk Genk
2.02

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Standard Liege x Genk:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Genk wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Genk, you can win up to $1010.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Standard Liege x Genk:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Standard Liege in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $333.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Genk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Standard Liege scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Genk scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Genk, Standard Liege scored at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Standard Liege x Genk

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Standard Liege x Genk for the Belgium First Division A – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Standard Liege X Genk – Belgium First Division A
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Standard Liege – Winning probability: 18.13% | Fair line: 5.51
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.83% | Fair line: 3.87
๐Ÿ”ด Genk – Winning probability: 56.04% | Fair line: 1.78
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Standard Liege
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Standard Liege x Genk is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Standard Liege x Genk

Is it worth betting on Standard Liege?

๐Ÿ”ต Standard Liege: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$424.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $660.40;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$79.60.

Is it worth betting on Genk?

๐Ÿ”ด Genk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $571.20
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$131.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Standard Liege x Genk

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Standard Liege
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Standard Liege x Genk

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Standard Liege and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Standard Liege. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Standard Liege x Genk

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves