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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Stockport x Mansfield Betting tips for January 4 in England League 1
Saturday, 04 January 2025, 15h00 England League 1
Stockport Stockport
PREDICTION No tip
Mansfield Mansfield
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Stockport x Mansfield Betting tips for January 4 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Stockport x Mansfield, Saturday, 4/1/2025
πŸ“… 4/1/2025
15:00
Stockport Stockport
1.92
X
3.45
Mansfield Mansfield
3.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Stockport x Mansfield:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Stockport x Mansfield

Important information for your tip for Stockport x Mansfield:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Stockport in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-73.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mansfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $62.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Stockport scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Stockport conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Stockport x Mansfield for the England League 1 – 4 of January

🏟️ Stockport X Mansfield – England League 1
πŸ“… 4 of January, 2025 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Stockport – Winning probability: 52.05% | Fair line: 1.92
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.00% | Fair line: 3.45
πŸ”΄ Mansfield – Winning probability: 18.95% | Fair line: 5.28
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Stockport
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Stockport x Mansfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1241796 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Stockport x Mansfield

Is it a good idea to bet on Stockport?

πŸ”΅ Stockport: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – profiting $478.40;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$1.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $710.50;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$0.50.

Should you bet on Mansfield?

πŸ”΄ Mansfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $532.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$278.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Stockport x Mansfield

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Stockport
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stockport x Mansfield

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Stockport, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Stockport.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Mansfield.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stockport x Mansfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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