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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Stockport x Reading Betting tips for October 29 in England League 1
Tuesday, 29 October 2024, 19h45 England League 1
Stockport Stockport
PREDICTION No tip
Reading Reading
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Stockport x Reading Betting tips for October 29 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Stockport x Reading, Tuesday, 29/10/2024
πŸ“… 29/10/2024
19:45
Stockport Stockport
1.87
X
3.60
Reading Reading
3.81

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Stockport x Reading:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Stockport x Reading

Some important points for the tip for Stockport x Reading:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Stockport in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-197.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Reading in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Reading scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Reading matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Reading conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Stockport x Reading for the England League 1 – 29 of October

🏟️ Stockport X Reading – England League 1
πŸ“… 29 of October, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Stockport – Winning probability: 55.89% | Fair line: 1.79
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.01% | Fair line: 4.54
πŸ”΄ Reading – Winning probability: 22.11% | Fair line: 4.52
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Stockport
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Stockport x Reading right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1211436 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Stockport x Reading

Is it worth betting on Stockport?

πŸ”΅ Stockport: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $487.20
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$47.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $572.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on Reading?

πŸ”΄ Reading: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $618.20;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$161.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Stockport x Reading

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Stockport
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stockport x Reading

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Stockport, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Stockport.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stockport x Reading

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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