Stoke x Burnley Betting tips for November 30 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Stoke x Burnley, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Stoke 2.90

X 3.25

Burnley 2.32

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Stoke x Burnley:

🔮 Burnley wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burnley, you can win up to $1160.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Stoke x Burnley: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Stoke in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $37.0. 👉 In the last 8 Burnley matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Stoke x Burnley, with Stoke as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Stoke x Burnley?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Stoke x Burnley for the England Championship – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Stoke x Burnley right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Stoke x Burnley

Should you bet on Stoke?

🔵 Stoke: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $418.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$362.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $562.50
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$187.50.

Is betting on Burnley worth it?

🔴 Burnley: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $699.60
• And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$229.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Stoke x Burnley

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Stoke
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stoke x Burnley

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Stoke, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Stoke.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Burnley.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stoke x Burnley

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.