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Home » Predictions » Others » Stromsgodset x Molde Betting tips for December 1 in Norway Eliteserien
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h00 Norway Eliteserien
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
PREDICTION Molde Wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Molde Molde
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Stromsgodset x Molde Betting tips for December 1 in Norway Eliteserien

Our betting tip for Stromsgodset x Molde, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
16:00
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
4.96
X
4.29
Molde Molde
1.53

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Stromsgodset x Molde:

🔮 Molde wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Molde, you can win up to $765.00!

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Important information for your tip for Stromsgodset x Molde:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Stromsgodset in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Molde in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-206.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Stromsgodset scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Molde, Stromsgodset scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Stromsgodset matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Stromsgodset x Molde for the Norway Eliteserien – 1 of December

🏟️ Stromsgodset X Molde – Norway Eliteserien
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Stromsgodset – Winning probability: 12.07% | Fair line: 8.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.04% | Fair line: 6.65
🔴 Molde – Winning probability: 72.89% | Fair line: 1.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Stromsgodset
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Stromsgodset and Molde.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Stromsgodset x Molde

Is betting on Stromsgodset worth it?

🔵 Stromsgodset: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $475.20;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$404.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $493.50;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$356.50.

Is betting on Molde worth it?

🔴 Molde: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $386.90
  • And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$116.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Stromsgodset x Molde

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Stromsgodset
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Stromsgodset x Molde

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Stromsgodset, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Stromsgodset.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Stromsgodset x Molde

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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