SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon Betting tips for December 20 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 15:00

SU 1 Dezembro 3.15

X 2.80

Atletico CP Lisbon 2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon

The main points for the tip for SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SU 1 Dezembro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico CP Lisbon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, SU 1 Dezembro scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Atletico CP Lisbon matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, SU 1 Dezembro conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Atletico CP Lisbon.

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Analysis from SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon for the Portugal Liga 3 – 20 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon

Is it worth betting on SU 1 Dezembro?

🔵 SU 1 Dezembro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $494.50
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$275.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $630.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico CP Lisbon?

🔴 Atletico CP Lisbon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $546.00;
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$34.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SU 1 Dezembro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 SU 1 Dezembro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 SU 1 Dezembro.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SU 1 Dezembro x Atletico CP Lisbon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.