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Home » Predictions » Others » Suriname x Canada Betting tips for November 15 in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, 15 November 2024, 23h30 CONCACAF Nations League
Suriname Suriname
PREDICTION Canada Wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Canada Canada
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Suriname x Canada Betting tips for November 15 in CONCACAF Nations League

Our betting tip for Suriname x Canada, Friday, 15/11/2024
📅 15/11/2024
23:30
Suriname Suriname
5.50
X
4.20
Canada Canada
1.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Suriname x Canada:

🔮 Canada wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Canada, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Suriname x Canada:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Canada in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $135.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Suriname scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Suriname conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Suriname x Canada for the CONCACAF Nations League – 15 of November

🏟️ Suriname X Canada – CONCACAF Nations League
📅 15 of November, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Suriname – Winning probability: 8.14% | Fair line: 12.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.13% | Fair line: 10.95
🔴 Canada – Winning probability: 82.73% | Fair line: 1.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Suriname
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Suriname x Canada right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221435 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Suriname x Canada

Should you bet on Suriname?

🔵 Suriname: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$560.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$622.00.

Should you bet on Canada?

🔴 Canada: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $415.00
  • And would lose other 170 times – having a loss of -$170.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$245.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Suriname x Canada

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Suriname
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Suriname x Canada

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Suriname and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Suriname.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Suriname.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Suriname x Canada

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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