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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK Betting tips for November 24 in Austria 2. Liga
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Austria 2. Liga
SV Kapfenberg SV Kapfenberg
PREDICTION Grazer AK Wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
Grazer AK Grazer AK
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK Betting tips for November 24 in Austria 2. Liga

Our betting tip for SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:30
SV Kapfenberg SV Kapfenberg
4.30
X
3.80
Grazer AK Grazer AK
1.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Grazer AK wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Grazer AK, you can win up to $850.00!

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Some important points for the tip for SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SV Kapfenberg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Grazer AK in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $306.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Grazer AK, SV Kapfenberg scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK, with SV Kapfenberg as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, SV Kapfenberg conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Grazer AK.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Grazer AK has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK

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Summary

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Analysis from SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK for the Austria 2. Liga – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ SV Kapfenberg X Grazer AK – Austria 2. Liga
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:30
๐Ÿ”ต SV Kapfenberg – Winning probability: 11.70% | Fair line: 8.55
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.72% | Fair line: 4.22
๐Ÿ”ด Grazer AK – Winning probability: 64.58% | Fair line: 1.55
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 SV Kapfenberg
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SV Kapfenberg and Grazer AK.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK

Should you bet on SV Kapfenberg?

๐Ÿ”ต SV Kapfenberg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $396.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$484.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$88.00.

Should you bet on Grazer AK?

๐Ÿ”ด Grazer AK: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
  • And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$105.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 SV Kapfenberg
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 SV Kapfenberg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 SV Kapfenberg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Grazer AK.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SV Kapfenberg x Grazer AK

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves