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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Oberliga Hessen
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga Hessen
SV Weidenhausen SV Weidenhausen
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 28% 1 X 2
Waldgirmes Waldgirmes
ODD: @3.79 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Oberliga Hessen

Our betting tip for SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
13:30
SV Weidenhausen SV Weidenhausen
2.17
X
3.79
Waldgirmes Waldgirmes
2.56

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1895.00!

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The main points for the tip for SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes:

๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, SV Weidenhausen scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ SV Weidenhausen is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes

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Summary

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Analysis from SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes for the Germany Oberliga Hessen – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ SV Weidenhausen X Waldgirmes – Germany Oberliga Hessen
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต SV Weidenhausen – Winning probability: 40.67% | Fair line: 2.46
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.76% | Fair line: 3.25
๐Ÿ”ด Waldgirmes – Winning probability: 28.57% | Fair line: 3.5
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SV Weidenhausen
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes

Is it worth betting on SV Weidenhausen?

๐Ÿ”ต SV Weidenhausen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $479.70;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$110.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $864.90;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$174.90.

Is it worth betting on Waldgirmes?

๐Ÿ”ด Waldgirmes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $452.40;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$257.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SV Weidenhausen
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 SV Weidenhausen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 SV Weidenhausen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 SV Weidenhausen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SV Weidenhausen x Waldgirmes

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves