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Home » Predictions » Others » Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory Betting tips for December 28 in Australia A-League
Saturday, 28 December 2024, 08h35 Australia A-League
Sydney FC Sydney FC
PREDICTION Sydney FC wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
ODD: @2.42 Don't miss this prediction!

Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory Betting tips for December 28 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory, Saturday, 28/12/2024
📅 28/12/2024
08:35
Sydney FC Sydney FC
2.42
X
3.61
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
2.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory:

🔮 Sydney FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sydney FC, you can win up to $1210.00!

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Important information for your tip for Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sydney FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-219.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Victory in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sydney FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Sydney FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Sydney FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Melbourne Victory conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Sydney FC is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 6 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory for the Australia A-League – 28 of December

🏟️ Sydney FC X Melbourne Victory – Australia A-League
📅 28 of December, 2024 – 08:35
🔵 Sydney FC – Winning probability: 44.50% | Fair line: 2.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.19% | Fair line: 5.21
🔴 Melbourne Victory – Winning probability: 36.30% | Fair line: 2.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sydney FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240200 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory

Is it a good idea to bet on Sydney FC?

🔵 Sydney FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $639.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$89.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $495.90
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$314.10.

Should you bet on Melbourne Victory?

🔴 Melbourne Victory: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $576.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sydney FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sydney FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sydney FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Sydney FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sydney FC x Melbourne Victory

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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