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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 03h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Tampico Madero Tampico Madero
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Universidad Guadalajara Universidad Guadalajara
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara, Sunday, 20/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 20/10/2024
03:00
Tampico Madero Tampico Madero
3.10
X
3.20
Universidad Guadalajara Universidad Guadalajara
2.15

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tampico Madero in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Universidad Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Tampico Madero matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Universidad Guadalajara has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tampico Madero has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Universidad Guadalajara playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 20 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Tampico Madero X Universidad Guadalajara – Mexico Liga de Expansion
๐Ÿ“… 20 of October, 2024 – 03:00
๐Ÿ”ต Tampico Madero – Winning probability: 34.81% | Fair line: 2.87
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.24% | Fair line: 3.01
๐Ÿ”ด Universidad Guadalajara – Winning probability: 31.95% | Fair line: 3.13
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tampico Madero
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tampico Madero and Universidad Guadalajara.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204480 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara

Is betting on Tampico Madero worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Tampico Madero: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $735.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$85.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $726.00;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$56.00.

Is it worth betting on Universidad Guadalajara?

๐Ÿ”ด Universidad Guadalajara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $368.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$312.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tampico Madero
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Tampico Madero, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Tampico Madero.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Tampico Madero.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tampico Madero x Universidad Guadalajara

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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