Tamworth x Southend Betting tips for December 20 in England National League

Our betting tip for Tamworth x Southend, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 17:30

Tamworth 3.60

X 3.42

Southend 1.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tamworth x Southend:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Tamworth x Southend

Some important points for the tip for Tamworth x Southend:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tamworth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Southend in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Tamworth scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Southend scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Tamworth did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.

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Analysis from Tamworth x Southend for the England National League – 20 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tamworth x Southend right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tamworth x Southend

Is betting on Tamworth worth it?

🔵 Tamworth: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $629.20;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$110.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Southend?

🔴 Southend: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $467.50
• And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$17.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Tamworth x Southend

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Tamworth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tamworth x Southend

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Tamworth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Tamworth.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Tamworth.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tamworth x Southend

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.