Tapatio x Cancun FC Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
π
20/10/2024 18:00 |
Tapatio 1.88 |
X 3.34 |
Cancun FC 3.70 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tapatio x Cancun FC:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Tapatio x Cancun FC
Important information for your tip for Tapatio x Cancun FC: π If you had bet $100 on Tapatio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0. |
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Analysis from Tapatio x Cancun FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 20 of October
ποΈ Tapatio X Cancun FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tapatio x Cancun FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203916 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Tapatio x Cancun FC
Is it worth betting on Tapatio?
π΅ Tapatio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $457.60;
- And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$22.40.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $702.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$2.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on Cancun FC?
π΄ Cancun FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $486.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$334.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tapatio x Cancun FC
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tapatio
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tapatio x Cancun FC
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Tapatio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Tapatio.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tapatio x Cancun FC
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.