Tapatio x Club Celaya Betting tips for November 2 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
| 📅 2/11/2024 01:00 |
 Tapatio2.26 |
X 3.28 |
Club Celaya  2.90 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tapatio x Club Celaya:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1640.00!
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Important information for your tip for Tapatio x Club Celaya: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tapatio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0. |
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Analysis from Tapatio x Club Celaya for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 2 of November
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🏟️ Tapatio X Club Celaya – Mexico Liga de Expansion |
When the best bet on Tapatio x Club Celaya is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213227 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Tapatio x Club Celaya
Should you bet on Tapatio?
🔵 Tapatio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $390.60;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$299.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $820.80;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$180.80.
Is it worth betting on Club Celaya?
🔴 Club Celaya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $627.00;
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$43.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tapatio x Club Celaya
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tapatio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tapatio x Club Celaya
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tapatio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tapatio. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tapatio x Club Celaya
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
