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Home » Predictions » Others » Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC Betting tips for November 11 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Monday, 11 November 2024, 02h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Tapatio Tapatio
PREDICTION Tapatio wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Tepatitlan FC Tepatitlan FC
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC Betting tips for November 11 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC, Monday, 11/11/2024
📅 11/11/2024
02:00
Tapatio Tapatio
1.55
X
3.90
Tepatitlan FC Tepatitlan FC
4.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC:

🔮 Tapatio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tapatio, you can win up to $775.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tapatio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tepatitlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tapatio scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC:

Analysis from Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 11 of November

🏟️ Tapatio X Tepatitlan FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion
📅 11 of November, 2024 – 02:00
🔵 Tapatio – Winning probability: 66.69% | Fair line: 1.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.61% | Fair line: 4.42
🔴 Tepatitlan FC – Winning probability: 10.70% | Fair line: 9.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Tapatio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1219192 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC

Is betting on Tapatio worth it?

🔵 Tapatio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $368.50
  • And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$38.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $667.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$103.00.

Is betting on Tepatitlan FC worth it?

🔴 Tepatitlan FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $418.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$472.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Tapatio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Tapatio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Tapatio.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Tepatitlan FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tapatio x Tepatitlan FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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