Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa Betting tips for September 30 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 17:30

Tecnico Universitario 2.10

X 3.22

Mushuc Runa 3.12

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa

The main points for the tip for Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tecnico Universitario in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $73.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mushuc Runa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $360.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Mushuc Runa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mushuc Runa, Tecnico Universitario scored at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 30 of September

When the best bet on Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa

Is it worth betting on Tecnico Universitario?

🔵 Tecnico Universitario: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $621.60
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$98.40.

Should you bet on Mushuc Runa?

🔴 Mushuc Runa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $508.80;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$251.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tecnico Universitario
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Tecnico Universitario, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tecnico Universitario.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Tecnico Universitario.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tecnico Universitario x Mushuc Runa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.