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Home » Predictions » Others » Telstar x Cambuur Leeuwarden Betting tips for November 29 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Friday, 29 November 2024, 19h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Telstar Telstar
PREDICTION Cambuur Leeuwarden Wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Cambuur Leeuwarden Cambuur Leeuwarden
ODD: @2.61 Don't miss this prediction!

Telstar x Cambuur Leeuwarden Betting tips for November 29 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Telstar x Cambuur Leeuwarden, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
19:00
Telstar Telstar
2.42
X
3.39
Cambuur Leeuwarden Cambuur Leeuwarden
2.61

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Telstar x Cambuur Leeuwarden:

🔮 Cambuur Leeuwarden wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cambuur Leeuwarden, you can win up to $1305.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Telstar x Cambuur Leeuwarden:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Telstar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-155.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cambuur Leeuwarden in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $880.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Telstar scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Cambuur Leeuwarden scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Telstar matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Cambuur Leeuwarden matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Telstar conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Cambuur Leeuwarden.
👉 Cambuur Leeuwarden is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 6 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Cambuur Leeuwarden won the last 3 head-to-head matches Telstar´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Telstar x Cambuur Leeuwarden for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 29 of November

🏟️ Telstar X Cambuur Leeuwarden – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Telstar – Winning probability: 31.81% | Fair line: 3.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.54% | Fair line: 3.77
🔴 Cambuur Leeuwarden – Winning probability: 41.65% | Fair line: 2.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Telstar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Telstar and Cambuur Leeuwarden.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Telstar x Cambuur Leeuwarden

Should you bet on Telstar?

🔵 Telstar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $454.40;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$225.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $645.30
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$84.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cambuur Leeuwarden?

🔴 Cambuur Leeuwarden: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $676.20;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$96.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Telstar x Cambuur Leeuwarden

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Telstar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Telstar x Cambuur Leeuwarden

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Telstar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Telstar.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Telstar x Cambuur Leeuwarden

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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