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Home » Predictions » Others » Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia Betting tips for February 1 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 03h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Tepatitlan FC Tepatitlan FC
PREDICTION Tepatitlan FC wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Atletico Morelia Atletico Morelia
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia Betting tips for February 1 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia, Saturday, 1/2/2025
📅 1/2/2025
03:00
Tepatitlan FC Tepatitlan FC
2.00
X
3.30
Atletico Morelia Atletico Morelia
3.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia:

🔮 Tepatitlan FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tepatitlan FC, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tepatitlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Morelia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Tepatitlan FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico Morelia, Tepatitlan FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Tepatitlan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico Morelia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Tepatitlan FC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atletico Morelia playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Atletico Morelia as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 1 of February

🏟️ Tepatitlan FC X Atletico Morelia – Mexico Liga de Expansion
📅 1 of February, 2025 – 03:00
🔵 Tepatitlan FC – Winning probability: 56.76% | Fair line: 1.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.27% | Fair line: 3.54
🔴 Atletico Morelia – Winning probability: 14.97% | Fair line: 6.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tepatitlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tepatitlan FC and Atletico Morelia.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1254601 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia

Should you bet on Tepatitlan FC?

🔵 Tepatitlan FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $644.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Morelia?

🔴 Atletico Morelia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $345.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$505.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tepatitlan FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tepatitlan FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Tepatitlan FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Atletico Morelia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tepatitlan FC x Atletico Morelia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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