Teruel x Algeciras CF Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Teruel x Algeciras CF, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 15:00

Teruel 2.20

X 2.75

Algeciras CF 3.38

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Teruel x Algeciras CF:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Teruel x Algeciras CF

Important information for your tip for Teruel x Algeciras CF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Teruel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Algeciras CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Algeciras CF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Teruel x Algeciras CF for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 14 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Teruel x Algeciras CF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Teruel x Algeciras CF

Is it a good idea to bet on Teruel?

🔵 Teruel: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $528.00;
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $647.50;
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$17.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Algeciras CF?

🔴 Algeciras CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $452.20
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$357.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Teruel x Algeciras CF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Teruel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Teruel x Algeciras CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Teruel and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Teruel.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Teruel x Algeciras CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.