Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong Betting tips for September 30 in Vietnam V-League

Our betting tip for Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 08:00

Thanh Hoa 2.20

X 3.28

Hai Phong 2.88

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong

The main points for the tip for Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Thanh Hoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-76.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hai Phong in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Hai Phong scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Hai Phong conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Thanh Hoa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Hai Phong.

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Analysis from Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong for the Vietnam V-League – 30 of September

When the best bet on Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191189 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong

Is it a good idea to bet on Thanh Hoa?

🔵 Thanh Hoa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – profiting $540.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $547.20;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$212.80.

Should you bet on Hai Phong?

🔴 Hai Phong: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $582.80;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$107.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Thanh Hoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Thanh Hoa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Thanh Hoa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Hai Phong.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Thanh Hoa x Hai Phong

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.