The Strongest x Bolivar Betting tips for September 18 in Bolivia Clausura

Our betting tip for The Strongest x Bolivar, Wednesday, 18/9/2024

📅 18/9/2024 21:00

The Strongest 2.14

X 3.45

Bolivar 2.82

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for The Strongest x Bolivar:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for The Strongest x Bolivar

Important information for your tip for The Strongest x Bolivar: 👉 If you had bet $100 on The Strongest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $24.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bolivar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, The Strongest scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Bolivar, The Strongest scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Bolivar matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between The Strongest x Bolivar, with The Strongest as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, The Strongest conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Bolivar. 👉 The Strongest is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 The Strongest has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Bolivar playing at home.

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Analysis from The Strongest x Bolivar for the Bolivia Clausura – 18 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between The Strongest and Bolivar.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184048 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for The Strongest x Bolivar

Is betting on The Strongest worth it?

🔵 The Strongest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $387.60;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $686.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$34.00.

Should you bet on Bolivar?

🔴 Bolivar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $691.60;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$71.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match The Strongest x Bolivar

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 The Strongest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for The Strongest x Bolivar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 The Strongest and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 The Strongest.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for The Strongest x Bolivar

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.