Thespa Gunma x Roasso Kumamoto Betting tips for September 29 in Japan J2-League
| 📅 29/9/2024 06:00 |
 Thespa Gunma3.79 |
X 3.40 |
Roasso Kumamoto  1.85 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Thespa Gunma x Roasso Kumamoto:
🔮 Roasso Kumamoto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roasso Kumamoto, you can win up to $925.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Thespa Gunma x Roasso Kumamoto: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Thespa Gunma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. |
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Analysis from Thespa Gunma x Roasso Kumamoto for the Japan J2-League – 29 of September
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🏟️ Thespa Gunma X Roasso Kumamoto – Japan J2-League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Thespa Gunma and Roasso Kumamoto.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Thespa Gunma x Roasso Kumamoto
Is betting on Thespa Gunma worth it?
🔵 Thespa Gunma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $530.10
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$279.90.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $384.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.
Is it worth betting on Roasso Kumamoto?
🔴 Roasso Kumamoto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 650 times – profiting $552.50;
- And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$202.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Thespa Gunma x Roasso Kumamoto
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Thespa Gunma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Thespa Gunma x Roasso Kumamoto
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Thespa Gunma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Thespa Gunma.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Thespa Gunma x Roasso Kumamoto
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
