Thisted FC x Ishoj Betting tips for October 20 in Denmark Division 2
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20/10/2024 12:00 |
 Thisted FC2.52 |
X 3.40 |
Ishoj  2.38 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Thisted FC x Ishoj:
๐ฎ Ishoj wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ishoj, you can win up to $1190.00!
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Important information for your tip for Thisted FC x Ishoj: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Thisted FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-58.0. |
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Analysis from Thisted FC x Ishoj for the Denmark Division 2 – 20 of October
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๐๏ธ Thisted FC X Ishoj – Denmark Division 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Thisted FC x Ishoj right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204538 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Thisted FC x Ishoj
Should you bet on Thisted FC?
๐ต Thisted FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $547.20;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$92.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $432.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$388.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Ishoj?
๐ด Ishoj: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $634.80
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$94.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Thisted FC x Ishoj
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Thisted FC
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Thisted FC x Ishoj
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Thisted FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Thisted FC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Ishoj.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Thisted FC x Ishoj
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
