Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Tombense MG x Mirassol Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
Tombense MG Tombense MG
PREDICTION Mirassol Wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Mirassol Mirassol
ODD: @2.26 Don't miss this prediction!

Tombense MG x Mirassol Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Tombense MG x Mirassol, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
20:00
Tombense MG Tombense MG
3.05
X
3.10
Mirassol Mirassol
2.26

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tombense MG x Mirassol:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Mirassol wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mirassol, you can win up to $1130.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Tombense MG x Mirassol:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tombense MG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-3.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mirassol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tombense MG conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Tombense MG x Mirassol

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Tombense MG x Mirassol?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Tombense MG x Mirassol for the Brazil Serie B – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Tombense MG X Mirassol – Brazil Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Tombense MG – Winning probability: 22.00% | Fair line: 4.54
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.66% | Fair line: 3.16
๐Ÿ”ด Mirassol – Winning probability: 46.34% | Fair line: 2.16
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tombense MG
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tombense MG and Mirassol.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tombense MG x Mirassol

Is it a good idea to bet on Tombense MG?

๐Ÿ”ต Tombense MG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $451.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$329.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $672.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$8.00.

Is it worth betting on Mirassol?

๐Ÿ”ด Mirassol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $579.60;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$39.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Tombense MG x Mirassol

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tombense MG
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tombense MG x Mirassol

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Tombense MG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Tombense MG.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Tombense MG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tombense MG x Mirassol

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteรบdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters