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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England National League South
Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels
PREDICTION Tonbridge Angels wins Probability 21% 1 X 2
Havant and W Havant and W
ODD: @1.96 Don't miss this prediction!

Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W Betting tips for November 25 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels
1.96
X
3.44
Havant and W Havant and W
3.22

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tonbridge Angels wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tonbridge Angels, you can win up to $980.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tonbridge Angels in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Havant and W in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Tonbridge Angels matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Havant and W matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Havant and W conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Tonbridge Angels conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Havant and W.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Havant and W as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W

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Summary

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Analysis from Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W for the England National League South – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Tonbridge Angels X Havant and W – England National League South
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Tonbridge Angels – Winning probability: 58.51% | Fair line: 1.71
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.97% | Fair line: 5.01
๐Ÿ”ด Havant and W – Winning probability: 21.53% | Fair line: 4.64
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Tonbridge Angels
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W

Is betting on Tonbridge Angels worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Tonbridge Angels: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $566.40;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$156.40.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $488.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$312.00.

Should you bet on Havant and W?

๐Ÿ”ด Havant and W: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $488.40
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$291.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Tonbridge Angels
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Tonbridge Angels, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Tonbridge Angels.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Tonbridge Angels.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tonbridge Angels x Havant and W

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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