Top Oss x De Graafschap Betting tips for December 20 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
| π
20/12/2025 15:30 |
 Top Oss3.55 |
X 4.00 |
De Graafschap  1.80 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Top Oss x De Graafschap:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Top Oss x De Graafschap
Important information for your tip for Top Oss x De Graafschap:
π If you had bet $100 on Top Oss in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
π If you had bet $100 on De Graafschap in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $425.0.
π In the last 6 matches as the away team, De Graafschap scored at least 2 goal(s).
π In the last 6 De Graafschap matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
π In the last 3 matches as the home team, Top Oss conceded at least 2 goal(s).
π In the last 9 matches as the away team, De Graafschap conceded at least 1 goal(s).
π Playing as the home team, Top Oss conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against De Graafschap.
π It is not a good time for Top Oss as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from Top Oss x De Graafschap for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 20 of December
ποΈ Top Oss X De Graafschap – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
π
20 of December, 2025 – 15:30
π΅ Top Oss – Winning probability: 26.60% | Fair line: 3.76
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.58% | Fair line: 5.11
π΄ De Graafschap – Winning probability: 53.82% | Fair line: 1.86
β Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Top Oss
β½ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 11.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Top Oss x De Graafschap is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Top Oss x De Graafschap
Is betting on Top Oss worth it?
π΅ Top Oss: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $688.50;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$41.50.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$200.00.
Is betting on De Graafschap worth it?
π΄ De Graafschap: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 540 times – profiting $432.00;
- And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$28.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Top Oss x De Graafschap
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Top Oss
β½ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Top Oss x De Graafschap
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Top Oss, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Top Oss.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Top Oss x De Graafschap
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
