Torque x Danubio Betting tips for March 30 in Uruguay Apertura

Our betting tip for Torque x Danubio, Sunday, 30/3/2025

📅 30/3/2025 21:00

Torque 2.30

X 3.10

Danubio 2.97

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Torque x Danubio:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Torque x Danubio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Torque in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $720.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Danubio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Torque scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Danubio, Torque scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Torque conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Danubio conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Torque conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Danubio. 👉 Torque is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.

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Analysis from Torque x Danubio for the Uruguay Apertura – 30 of March

When the best bet on Torque x Danubio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1291828 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Torque x Danubio

Is betting on Torque worth it?

🔵 Torque: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $507.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$103.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $693.00
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$23.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Danubio?

🔴 Danubio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.97. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $551.60
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Torque x Danubio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Torque
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Torque x Danubio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Torque and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Torque.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Torque x Danubio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.