Tranmere x Grimsby Betting tips for October 22 in England League 2
๐
22/10/2024 18:45 |
Tranmere 2.10 |
X 3.25 |
Grimsby 3.40 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tranmere x Grimsby:
๐ฎ Tranmere wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tranmere, you can win up to $1050.00!
Important information for your tip for Tranmere x Grimsby: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Tranmere in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. |
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Analysis from Tranmere x Grimsby for the England League 2 – 22 of October
๐๏ธ Tranmere X Grimsby – England League 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tranmere x Grimsby right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1206441 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Tranmere x Grimsby
Should you bet on Tranmere?
๐ต Tranmere: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $583.00;
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$113.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $630.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$90.00.
Is it worth betting on Grimsby?
๐ด Grimsby: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $456.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$354.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Tranmere x Grimsby
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tranmere
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tranmere x Grimsby
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Tranmere, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tranmere.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tranmere x Grimsby
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.