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Home » Predictions » Others » Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Nacional B
Monday, 13 April 2026, 18h00 Argentina Nacional B
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
PREDICTION Tristan Suarez wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela
ODD: @2.2
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Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela, Monday, 13/4/2026
📅 13/4/2026
18:00
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
2.20
X
2.60
Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela
3.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela:

🔮 Tristan Suarez wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tristan Suarez, you can win up to $1100.00!

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Important information for your tip for Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tristan Suarez in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Rafaela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tristan Suarez scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela for the Argentina Nacional B – 13 of April

🏟️ Tristan Suarez X Atletico Rafaela – Argentina Nacional B
📅 13 of April, 2026 – 18:00
🔵 Tristan Suarez – Winning probability: 47.83% | Fair line: 2.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.27% | Fair line: 2.84
🔴 Atletico Rafaela – Winning probability: 16.90% | Fair line: 5.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tristan Suarez
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

The latest news about Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela

Home Team: No news provided for the home team.

Atlético de Rafaela: Atlético de Rafaela, under coach Iván Juárez, secured promotion to Primera Nacional after defeating Ciudad de Bolívar in the Federal A final held on October 19, and currently competes in the second division. In recent matches, the team used a 4‑3‑3 formation (Mayco Bergia; Nicolás Ramos, Enzo Wuattier, Agustín Solveyra, Fernando Ponce; Facundo Soloa, Nahuel Cainelli, Juan Martín Capurro; Lucas Albertengo, Agustín Obando, Martiniano Moreno) against Almagro, receiving yellow cards for Moreno, Wuattier, and Solveyra, and in the subsequent match against Deportivo Maipú, where they scored early with Facundo Soloa and made several substitutions, including Pablo Furtado for Martiniano Moreno and Matías Pardo for Nahuel Cainelli. The squad features notable players such as Lucas Albertengo, Facundo Soloa, Ijiel Protti, and goalkeeper Emanuel Bilbao. Earlier this year, the club was eliminated from the Copa Argentina after a 3-0 defeat to Belgrano.

Table analysis for the match between Tristan Suarez and Atletico Rafaela

Tristan Suarez: Currently leading Group B of the Argentine Primera Nacional, Tristan Suarez has an undefeated streak in 7 matches, accumulating 15 points and a positive goal difference of 7. The team is in the zone that guarantees a direct spot in the promotion final to the top division, placing them in a very comfortable position in the league. A victory against Atletico Rafaela would reinforce their leadership and further increase the advantage over rivals, bringing the team closer to their main goal of winning the title or at least securing a direct spot in the final. Therefore, this match is extremely important to maintain their unbeaten record and team confidence.

Atletico Rafaela: The team is in 8th place in the group with 11 points in 7 matches, fighting for one of the promotion playoff spots, which start from the 2nd to the 8th position in the group. The team has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a positive goal difference of 1. The match against Tristan Suarez, the group leader, is quite significant for the team, as a win could boost their position on the table and solidify their playoff qualification, increasing their chances of promotion to the first division. Drawing or losing does not eliminate the team but could add extra pressure in upcoming rounds, demanding even better performance to reach their goals.

Summary: The clash between Tristan Suarez and Atletico Rafaela is of high importance. For Tristan Suarez, maintaining the leadership and undefeated streak could be a decisive step toward the title and direct qualification for the final. Meanwhile, Atletico Rafaela sees this match as fundamental to securing their playoff spot and keeping alive their hopes of promotion. Therefore, the duel has a direct impact on the main goals of both teams in the Primera Nacional group stage. ⚽🔥

How the handicap and odds moved for Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

📊 With a variation of 2.27%, the odds for Tristan Suarez are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.2 for Tristan Suarez and now the odds are @2.25.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.75 for Draw and now the odds are @2.75.
📊 The odds for Atletico Rafaela had a slight Raised of 8.33%: the market opened with odds of @3.6 for Atletico Rafaela and now the odds are @3.9.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -0.25 for Tristan Suarez is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 1.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tristan Suarez and Atletico Rafaela.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1519533 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is betting on Tristan Suarez worth it?

🔵 Tristan Suarez: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$56.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Rafaela?

🔴 Atletico Rafaela: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $467.50
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$362.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tristan Suarez
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Tristan Suarez and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tristan Suarez.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela

Which team is the favourite in Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela?

From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Tristan Suarez, with a win probability of 47.83%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!

Who will win: Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela?

Keep in mind: there are no certainties in sports betting and we cannot guarantee a winner. But based on our analysis, we believe Tristan Suarez has the higher chance to win this game, with a probability of 47.83%. If you bet on Tristan Suarez, do so responsibly!

What are the chances of Tristan Suarez beating Atletico Rafaela today?

According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Tristan Suarez to win approximately 48 of them against Atletico Rafaela.

What are the chances of Atletico Rafaela beating Tristan Suarez today?

According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Atletico Rafaela to win approximately 17 of them against Tristan Suarez.

Which team should I bet on: Tristan Suarez or Atletico Rafaela?

Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Tristan Suarez wins, with an expected value of 7.66%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!

How much is Tristan Suarez paying today? See what you can win by betting on Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela:

The odds for Tristan Suarez to beat Atletico Rafaela today are around 2.20. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2200.00 if Tristan Suarez wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

How much is Atletico Rafaela paying today? See what you can win by betting on Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela:

The average odds for Atletico Rafaela to beat Tristan Suarez today are 3.75. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh3750.00 if Atletico Rafaela wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Which bookmaker is best for the match Tristan Suarez x Atletico Rafaela?

If you plan to bet on Tristan Suarez vs Atletico Rafaela, we suggest using trusted and regulated bookmakers. Here are three operators we recommend:

Remember to bet responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves