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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Troyes x Guingamp Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 France Ligue 2
Troyes Troyes
PREDICTION Guingamp Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Guingamp Guingamp
ODD: @2.26 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Troyes x Guingamp Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for Troyes x Guingamp, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
18:00
Troyes Troyes
2.95
X
3.25
Guingamp Guingamp
2.26

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Troyes x Guingamp:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Guingamp wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guingamp, you can win up to $1130.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Troyes x Guingamp:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Troyes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Guingamp in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Troyes x Guingamp, with Troyes as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Guingamp has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Troyes x Guingamp

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Troyes x Guingamp?

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Analysis from Troyes x Guingamp for the France Ligue 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Troyes X Guingamp – France Ligue 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต Troyes – Winning probability: 14.24% | Fair line: 7.02
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.80% | Fair line: 3.36
๐Ÿ”ด Guingamp – Winning probability: 55.95% | Fair line: 1.79
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Troyes
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Troyes and Guingamp.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Troyes x Guingamp

Is it worth betting on Troyes?

๐Ÿ”ต Troyes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $273.00
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$587.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $675.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$25.00.

Is it worth betting on Guingamp?

๐Ÿ”ด Guingamp: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $705.60
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$265.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Troyes x Guingamp

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Troyes
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Troyes x Guingamp

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Troyes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Troyes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Guingamp.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Troyes x Guingamp

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves