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Home » Predictions » Others » Truro City x AFC Hornchurch Betting tips for January 4 in England National League South
Saturday, 04 January 2025, 15h00 England National League South
Truro City Truro City
PREDICTION Truro City wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Truro City x AFC Hornchurch Betting tips for January 4 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Truro City x AFC Hornchurch, Saturday, 4/1/2025
📅 4/1/2025
15:00
Truro City Truro City
1.75
X
3.31
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Truro City x AFC Hornchurch:

🔮 Truro City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Truro City, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Truro City x AFC Hornchurch:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Truro City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AFC Hornchurch in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, AFC Hornchurch scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Truro City conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, AFC Hornchurch conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, AFC Hornchurch has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Truro City x AFC Hornchurch?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Truro City x AFC Hornchurch:

Analysis from Truro City x AFC Hornchurch for the England National League South – 4 of January

🏟️ Truro City X AFC Hornchurch – England National League South
📅 4 of January, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Truro City – Winning probability: 60.60% | Fair line: 1.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.49% | Fair line: 4.26
🔴 AFC Hornchurch – Winning probability: 15.91% | Fair line: 6.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Truro City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Truro City x AFC Hornchurch is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1241796 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Truro City x AFC Hornchurch

Is betting on Truro City worth it?

🔵 Truro City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $457.50
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$67.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $531.30;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$238.70.

Should you bet on AFC Hornchurch?

🔴 AFC Hornchurch: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $512.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$328.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Truro City x AFC Hornchurch

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Truro City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Truro City x AFC Hornchurch

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Truro City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Truro City.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Truro City x AFC Hornchurch

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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