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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg
TSG Backnang TSG Backnang
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
VfR Mannheim VfR Mannheim
ODD: @3.6 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg

Our betting tip for TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
13:00
TSG Backnang TSG Backnang
2.23
X
3.60
VfR Mannheim VfR Mannheim
2.62

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on TSG Backnang in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-36.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on VfR Mannheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-63.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, VfR Mannheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, TSG Backnang conceded at least 2 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim for the Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ TSG Backnang X VfR Mannheim – Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:00
๐Ÿ”ต TSG Backnang – Winning probability: 34.53% | Fair line: 2.9
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.59% | Fair line: 2.98
๐Ÿ”ด VfR Mannheim – Winning probability: 31.87% | Fair line: 3.14
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 TSG Backnang
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim

Should you bet on TSG Backnang?

๐Ÿ”ต TSG Backnang: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $430.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$219.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $884.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$224.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on VfR Mannheim?

๐Ÿ”ด VfR Mannheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $518.40
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$161.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 TSG Backnang
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 TSG Backnang and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 TSG Backnang.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 VfR Mannheim.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSG Backnang x VfR Mannheim

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves