Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC Betting tips for December 7 in Hong Kong 3rd Division

Our betting tip for Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC, Sunday, 7/12/2025

📅 7/12/2025 05:30

Tsun Tat Kwok Keung 1.96

X 4.00

Tuen Mun FC 2.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC

Important information for your tip for Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tsun Tat Kwok Keung in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tuen Mun FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $137.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Tsun Tat Kwok Keung scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Tuen Mun FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tuen Mun FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC for the Hong Kong 3rd Division – 7 of December

When the best bet on Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1449456 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Tsun Tat Kwok Keung?

🔵 Tsun Tat Kwok Keung: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $460.80
• And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$59.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$120.00.

Should you bet on Tuen Mun FC?

🔴 Tuen Mun FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $570.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Tsun Tat Kwok Keung
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Tsun Tat Kwok Keung and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Tsun Tat Kwok Keung. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tsun Tat Kwok Keung x Tuen Mun FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.