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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Bayern North
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga Bayern North
TSV Kornburg TSV Kornburg
PREDICTION No tip
Jahn Regensburg II Jahn Regensburg II
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TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Bayern North

Our betting tip for TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
18:00
TSV Kornburg TSV Kornburg
2.52
X
3.50
Jahn Regensburg II Jahn Regensburg II
2.38

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II

Some important points for the tip for TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on TSV Kornburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-138.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Jahn Regensburg II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, TSV Kornburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Jahn Regensburg II scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 TSV Kornburg matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Jahn Regensburg II conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II:

Analysis from TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II for the Germany Oberliga Bayern North – 24 of November

🏟️ TSV Kornburg X Jahn Regensburg II – Germany Oberliga Bayern North
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:00
πŸ”΅ TSV Kornburg – Winning probability: 30.91% | Fair line: 3.24
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.90% | Fair line: 3.46
πŸ”΄ Jahn Regensburg II – Winning probability: 40.20% | Fair line: 2.49
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TSV Kornburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II

Is betting on TSV Kornburg worth it?

πŸ”΅ TSV Kornburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $471.20;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$218.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $725.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$15.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Jahn Regensburg II worth it?

πŸ”΄ Jahn Regensburg II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$48.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TSV Kornburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 TSV Kornburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 TSV Kornburg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 TSV Kornburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TSV Kornburg x Jahn Regensburg II

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves